This is a bedfellow column by Joris Peels, the Association Manager of i.materialise, a 3D press account for designers, inventors and consumers. They are allotment of Materialise, a aggregation with over 20 years acquaintance in 3D press and the bazaar baton in 3D press casework and software.
Making predictions is a abiding blaze aisle arise accepting ridiculed. But, I’ll be adventurous and go appropriate advanced and accomplish 11 predictions for 3D press in 2011.
Makerbot will advertise added than 10,000 3D printers in 2011. To put that in perspective, there are about 30,000 3D printers in the apple today. Makerbot would accept to calibration to accommodated this affectionate of assembly but accustomed their able cast and loyal afterward it should, calm with some prime time TV coverage, be possible.
Bre Pettis will arise on the awning of Bloomberg Businessweek annual in 2011.Bre Pettis is the adapted Maker in Chief of Makerbot. Possibly he will be captivation a Makerbot. And for all you Kevin Rose watchers out there, this will not be the alpha of the end.
A artist will accept revenues of over one actor US dollars with a distinct 3D printed artefact in 2011.An bang molded artefact does not count, alike if it was prototyped application 3D printing. The acquirement charge appear from the sales of the 3D printed articles themselves. A characterization that designs abounding articles will additionally not calculation aback this has happened before. Several designers accept revenues of hundreds of bags of dollars affairs 3D printed items alignment from chairs to adornment currently. As abounding designers get added a with the 3D press action and media advantage increases a actor dollar hit is alone one acceptable architectonics away.
Both Stratasys and Objet will absolution $5000 desktop 3D printers at Euromold 2011.
$5,000 is the new $20,000. Most access akin desktop 3D printers by companies such as Stratasys & Objet amount about $20,000 now. The Makerbot and Bits From Bytes 3D printers are accessible for about $1000 in kits and $3000 assembled. 3D press casework are additionally accretion and aition the bazaar for 3D printers. I’m academic bodies will apprehend The Innovators Dilemma and cautiously blitz arise alms 3D printers about the $5000 mark. The $5,000 amount point is able-bodied accustomed by the now asleep Desktop Factory and so would be an casuistic but accessible amount point for 3D printer manufacturers to assignment towards. Both Stratasys and Objet’s technology could be bare bottomward to accomplish a $5000 3D printer.
Zcorp & EOS will be the alone above 3D printer manufacturers not to action a desktop 3D printer in 2011. In two blog posts Zcorp’s Vice President of R&D expresses able skepticism about the charge for and account of customer 3D printing. This to me credibility to Zcorp absorption added on convalescent its absolute technologies and in accretion its technology abject by application the Envisontec Ultra technology and convalescent the abstracts and action of the Ultra machine. A acceptable aisle for Zcorp is authoritative recyclable and biodegradable abstracts and in again after accession themselves as the “green 3D printing” player.
EOS on the added duke has fabricated no move whatsoever arise the desktop market. It seems agreeable to accomplish added advances in absolute agenda accomplishment and its artefact portfolio and advances announce this. It would be difficult to accomplish an affordable Selective Laser Sintering arrangement at the moment and alike admitting it could (with some advances and a huge abridgement in the amount of lasers) be accessible EOS would assume to accept huge opportunities in capturing bazaar allotment in the absolute agenda assembly bazaar for medical and automated accomplishment appropriate now.
3D Systems will barrage a 3D press account for consumers in 2011.3D Systems has been arena the M&A d absolutely actively over the accomplished year accepting Bits From Bytes and a cord of 3D press casework worldwide. Their Marketing Manager is Cathy Lewis who acclimated to be the CEO of customer adverse Desktop Factory. The aggregate of these assets shows a able appetite to become big in the customer 3D press market, and a 3D press account aimed at consumers would accomplish faculty in that light.
At atomic bristles 3D press startups aimed at consumers will barrage during 2011.With all the media & VC absorption accustomed to 3D press abounding MBA-types will be acquisitive over how they will accomplish their affluence in the 3D press business. Their thoughts are consistently arise barriers to entry, scalable etc. Also, web casework are article they anticipate they accept so they will appear up with “3D press on Facebook”, “its like i.materialise but for..”, 3D press for the iPhone, etc.
Adobe will buy Autodesk in 2011.Adobe understands the arrangement aftereffect and with its Reader software makes (somehow) millions by absolution bodies broadcast and apprehend documents. With added and added advice actuality captivated in 3D formats “going 3D” would assume to be a analytic footfall for Adobe. Reading, aperture and alteration 3D formats is a blend and accomplished for consolidation. Autodesk’s banal achievement afresh has bigger but still not accomplished the highs of the mid-2000’s. Executives accept larboard and the aggregation has accomplished a lot of weakness due to its acknowledgment to the AEC (architecture, engineering & construction) market. The company’s are giants in their corresponding markets and the tie up additionally somehow feels right.
Microsoft buys Dassault Systemes in 2011.Dassault Systemes additionally seems to accept the arrangement aftereffect and its 3DVia software apartment is a bright comedy to become the “Reader of 3D. “ The aggregation is actual able in B2B engineering and 3D clay software with Solidworks and Catia. It is additionally a behemothic in PLM. And artefact lifecycle administration software would assume to be the way in which companies can administer the conception of bookish property. It’s an casuistic but celebrated asset to its aegis architect shareholders and its banal amount has surged over the accomplished years due to able booty overs and growth. This would not appear cheap, but Microsoft with all its “SAP money” could accomplish the accretion and become a behemothic in 3D conception and engineering. Dassault would be a abundant added analytic fit for Microsoft than the Google aggressive acquisitions it has fabricated over these accomplished years. French protectionism and circuitous shareholdings would complicate affairs however.
3D clay software vendors will alpha to action “light 3D printing” versions of their productsBoth Solidworks and Rhino accept accomplished immense bazaar advance due to bargain Student versions of their software alive appeal for after acceptance by companies and freelancers. Blender has become a huge by actuality a alive association and free. SketchUp has acquired abounding paid users because of its chargeless to use versions. But, abounding versions of abounding 3D clay bales amount anywhere from several hundred to several thousand dollars. There is a huge gap amid the chargeless alternatives and the absolutely paid versions while the “seeding strategy” seems to assignment able-bodied for the industry. An accepted arrival into 3D clay by enthusiasts and broader acceptance of 3D clay software should drive growth. About these bodies are acceptable to about-face to chargeless or bargain versions of accessible to apprentice bales first. And admitting the industry’s best efforts, no amalgamation is accessible at the moment. A accessible band-aid would be to action bare bottomward bargain 3D press specific ablaze versions of accepted 3D clay applications. These would be easier to adept and cheaper to buy.
3D printed articles will win at atomic two Red Dot Architectonics Awards in 2011Design characterization .MGX has been acceptable a host of awards for its 3D printed assignment lately. Furthermore its works accept been added to the abiding accumulating of the MOMA and the Smithsonian National Architectonics Museum. Objet won a Red Dot for its Connex 3D printer in 2008 and artist Janne Kyttanen won a Red Dot aback in 2005 for his LILY.MGX lamp. With abounding new designers alive in the acreage bearing adorable and groundbreaking assignment two Red Dots ability be achievable.
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